Alabama
W-L: (11- 4) PR = 89.3926Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Florida St ACC ( 5- 7, 79.5) 17-31 906 H La-Monroe SUN ( 3- 9, 63.5) 73- 0 913 H Wisconsin B10 ( 4- 8, 77.2) 38-14 927 A Georgia SEC (12- 2, 92.2) 24-21 1004 H Vanderbilt SEC (10- 3, 88.7) 30-14 1011 A Missouri SEC ( 8- 5, 84.0) 27-24 1018 H Tennessee SEC ( 8- 5, 83.7) 37-20 1025 A So Carolina SEC ( 4- 8, 77.4) 29-22 1108 H LSU SEC ( 7- 6, 82.8) 20- 9 1115 H Oklahoma SEC (10- 3, 87.3) 21-23 1122 H Ea Illinois 56- 0 1129 A Auburn SEC ( 5- 7, 82.3) 27-20 1206 A Georgia SEC (12- 2, 92.2) 7-28 1219 N Oklahoma SEC (10- 3, 87.3) 34-24 101 N Indiana B10 (16- 0, 99.9) 3-38
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 A Florida St 17-31 -14 5 --- -18.65
906 H La-Monroe 73- 0 73 31 0.00
913 H Wisconsin 38-14 24 17 0.00
927 A Georgia 24-21 3 -8 +++ 11.02
1004 H Vanderbilt 30-14 16 6 +++ 8.04
1011 A Missouri 27-24 3 0 + 2.86
1018 H Tennessee 37-20 17 11 + 3.03
1025 A So Carolina 29-22 7 7 0.27
1108 H LSU 20- 9 11 12 -0.88
1115 H Oklahoma 21-23 -2 7 --- -9.31
1129 A Auburn 27-20 7 2 ++ 5.14
1206 A Georgia 7-28 -21 -8 -- -5.98
1219 N Oklahoma 34-24 10 2 +++ 7.95
101 N Indiana 3-38 -35 -11 - -3.49
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 830 A Florida St 17-31 -14 5 --- -18.65 1115 H Oklahoma 21-23 -2 7 --- -9.31 1206 A Georgia 7-28 -21 -8 -- -5.98 101 N Indiana 3-38 -35 -11 - -3.49 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 A Georgia 24-21 3 -8 +++ 11.02 1004 H Vanderbilt 30-14 16 6 +++ 8.04 1219 N Oklahoma 34-24 10 2 +++ 7.95 1129 A Auburn 27-20 7 2 ++ 5.14 1011 A Missouri 27-24 3 0 + 2.86 1018 H Tennessee 37-20 17 11 + 3.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Florida St ( 5- 7, 79.5) 17-31 -20.41 30.81 5.26 0.91 -6.90
3 H La-Monroe ( 3- 9, 63.5) 73- 0 -36.43 14.79 -5.26 0.91 17.37
3 H Wisconsin ( 4- 8, 77.2) 38-14 -22.65 28.56 -5.26 0.91 42.45
3 A Georgia (12- 2, 92.2) 24-21 -7.75 43.47 5.26 0.91 88.76
3 H Vanderbilt (10- 3, 88.7) 30-14 -11.21 40.01 -5.26 0.91 63.30
3 A Missouri ( 8- 5, 84.0) 27-24 -15.90 35.32 5.26 0.91 73.91
3 H Tennessee ( 8- 5, 83.7) 37-20 -16.22 35.00 -5.26 0.91 54.16
3 A So Carolina ( 4- 8, 77.4) 29-22 -22.50 28.72 5.26 0.91 61.90
3 H LSU ( 7- 6, 82.8) 20- 9 -17.13 34.09 -5.26 0.91 52.51
3 H Oklahoma (10- 3, 87.3) 21-23 -12.56 38.66 -5.26 0.91 -8.11
3 A Auburn ( 5- 7, 82.3) 27-20 -17.63 33.59 5.26 0.91 70.76
3 A Georgia (12- 2, 92.2) 7-28 -7.75 43.47 5.26 0.91 -1.13
3 N Oklahoma (10- 3, 87.3) 34-24 -12.56 38.66 -0.00 0.91 70.42
3 N Indiana (16- 0, 99.9) 3-38 -0.00 51.22 -0.00 0.91 -0.00
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579.39
|
winning pts = 595.5396 losing points = -16.1449
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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